TERRAPUB Earth, Planets and Space

Earth Planets Space, Vol. 58 (No. 12), pp. 1581-1586, 2006


Preparatory process reflected in seismicity-pattern change preceding the M=7 earthquakes off Miyagi prefecture, Japan

Shozo Matsumura

National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tennodai 3-1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0006, Japan

(Received December 16, 2005; Revised March 14, 2006; Accepted May 6, 2006; Online published February 2, 2007)

Abstract: Two M=7 interplate earthquakes recently occurred off Miyagi prefecture, northeastern Japan. These belong to a new sequence of earthquake series. The occurrence of this sequence was forewarned by the government, based primarily on a statistical approach utilizing historical records. Such a process, however, does not account for the present on-going status in the assessment. During the stage when stress approaches a critical level, there is a possibility of stress redistribution caused by a quasi-static slip, which will be reflected in a temporal change in seismic activity. Delineating a spatial map of the seismic-activity rate changes in the seismogenic zone off Miyagi prefecture, we found that there was an activation of microseismicity in the rupture zones several months prior to both M=7 earthquakes. This was interpreted as evidence of a preparatory process preceding each M=7 earthquake, during which a quasi-static slip progressed, driving stress redistribution and resulting in stress concentration on asperities of these earthquakes.
Key words: Microseismicity, stress redistribution, asperity, preparatory process.

Corresponding author E-mail: shozo@bosai.go.jp

[Full text] (PDF 5.9 MB)