A Collection of Contributions Based on Presentations at the 14th Toyota Conference, Mikkabi, Shizuoka, Japan, October 3 to 6, 2000 Edited by Taroh Matsuno Frontier Research System for Global Change, Tokyo, Japan Hideji Kida Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan

Prelims (PDF 12 KB)
Contents (PDF 12 KB)
Preface (PDF 8KB)
p. v.
Contributors (PDF 12 KB)
pp. vii-xi.
Organizing Committee of the 14th Toyota Conference (PDF 248 KB)
pp. xiii-xiv.
History of the Toyota Conference (PDF 8KB)
pp. xv-xvi.

Session 1. Global Warming Prediction—Current Status and Issues

• Global Warming Projection Studies at the Meteorological Research Institute/JMA
  T. Tokioka and A. Noda
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 1-14.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 1.1 MB)

• Projections of Future Climate Change in the 21st Century Simulated by the CCSR/NIES CGCM under the IPCC SRES Scenarios
  T. Nozawa, S. Emori, A. Numaguti, Y. Tsushima, T. Takemura, T. Nakajima, A. Abe-Ouchi and M. Kimoto
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 15-28.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 368 KB)

  Session 2. Modeling of the Atmosphere and Oceans

• Toward a Unified Highly Resolved Regional Climate Modeling System
  Y. Wang and B. Wang
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 29-48.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 1.8 MB)

• Studies of Climate Variability Using General Circulation Models
  M. Kimoto
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 49-62.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 3.2 MB)

  Session 3. Modeling of Chemistry of the Atmosphere

• Tropospheric Ozone and Climate: Past, Present and Future
  G. P. Brasseur, J.-F. Müller, X-X. Tie and L. Horowitz
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 63-76.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 460 KB)

• Effects of Man-Made Air Pollution on the Climate
  T. Nakajima, A. Higurashi, K. Kawamoto and T. Takemura
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 77-88.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 484 KB)

• Tropospheric Chemical Transport Modeling over East Asia
  I. Uno
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 89-100.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 952 KB)

  Session 4. Modeling of Land Hydrology Including Snow and Ice

• Effects of Soil Moisture of the Asian Continent upon the Baiu Front
  F. Kimura and T. Yoshikane
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 101-110.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 4.2 MB)

• Macroscale Hydrology: Challenges and Opportunities
  D. P. Lettenmaier
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 111-136.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 856 KB)

• Linking Ground Hydrology to Ecosystems and Carbon Cycle in a Climate Model
  R. E. Dickinson
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 137-144.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 2.6 MB)

  Session 5. Modeling of Ecosystem and Its Global Change

• Carbon Storage in the U.S. Caused by Land Use Change
  S. W. Pacala, G. C. Hurtt, P. R. Moorcroft and J. P. Caspersen
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 145-172.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 784 KB)

• A Multi-layered Integrated Numerical Model of Surface Physics—Growing Plants Interaction, MINoSGI
  T. Hara, T. Watanabe, M. Yokozawa, S. Emori, K. Takata and A. Sumida
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 173-186.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 148 KB)

  Session 6. Carbon Cycle Modeling

• Modeling Carbon-Climate Interactions
  I. Fung
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 187-194.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 132 KB)

• Development of Coupled Ocean Physical-Biogeochemical-Ecosystem Model
  Y. Yamanaka
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 195-206.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 1.5 MB)

• Modeling Carbon Dynamics of Terrestrial Ecosystems in Monsoon Asia
  T. Oikawa and A. Ito
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 207-220.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 532 KB)

  Session 7. Modeling of Paleoenvironmental Change Including Ice Sheet Modeling

• Ice in the Climate System: Paleoclimatological Perspectives
  W. R. Peltier and L. P. Solheim
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 221-242.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 760 KB)

• Using Model Hierarchies to Better Understand Past Climate Chang
  M. Kageyama
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 243-252.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 240 KB)

• Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation
  S. Manabe
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 253-254.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 60 KB)

  Session 8. Modeling of Land Use/Cover Change due to Human Activities

• Backward Land-Cover Change Projections for the Sudano-Sahelian Countries of Africa with a Dynamic Simulation Model of Land-Use Change (SALU)
  N. Stephenne and E. F. Lambin
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 255-270.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 13.4 MB)

• Integrating Biophysical and Socioeconomic Factors in Modeling Impacts of Global Environmental Change
  G. Fischer
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 271-292.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 1.4 MB)

• Integration of Observational Data and Behavioral Models for Spatio-Temporal Interpolation—Application to Reconstructing Long-Term Land Use and Land Cover Changes
  R. Shibasaki and S. Huang
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 293-310.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 664 KB)

  Session 9. Integrated Modeling—Current Status

• Earth System Modeling—An Integrated Assessment Tool for Environmental Studies
  R. A. Pielke, Sr.
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 311-338.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 2.9 MB)

• Integrated Assessment Model of Climate Change: The AIM Approach
  Y. Matsuoka, T. Morita and M. Kainuma
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 339-362.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 1.4 MB)

• Session 10. Discussion on Strategy toward Modeling of the Integrated System
  A. Sumi and T. Morita
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 363-372.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 36 KB)

  Poster Session

• Effect of Cloud Condensation Nuclei on the Optical Properties of a Layer Cloud: Numerical Simulation with a Cloud-Microphysical Model
  N. Kuba, H. Iwabuchi, K. Maruyama, T. Hayasaka and T. Takeda
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 373-374.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 8 KB)

• Intercontinental Transport and Chemical Transformation of Ozone and Its Precursors from East Asia
  O. Wild and H. Akimoto
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 375-382.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 292 KB)

• Development of CCSR/NIES Nudging CTM and Ozone Simulation
  H. Akiyoshi, M. Takigawa, T. Nagashima, J. Kurokawa, S. Sugata, M. Takahashi and H. Nakane
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 383-390.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 484 KB)

• Modeling Surface Hydrology for Global Water Cycle Simulations
  T. Oki
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 391-404.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 608 KB)

• A New Frozen Soil Parameterization in Land Surface Scheme
  X. Li and T. Koike
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 405-414.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 112 KB)

• Individual-Based Model of a Forest with Spatial Structure and Gene Flow
  A. Takenaka
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 415-420.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 88 KB)

• Global Potential of Carbon Sinks under the Kyoto Protocol
  Y. Yamagata and G. A. Alexandrov
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 421-426.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 20 KB)

• Effect of Orography on Land and Ocean Surface Temperature
  A. Kitoh
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 427-432.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 472 KB)

• Regional Warming Related with Land Use Change during Past 135 Years in Japan
  T. Ichinose
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 433-440.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 2.2 MB)

• Development of Land Use Model for IPCC New Emission Scenarios (SRES)
  T. Masui, Y. Matsuoka, T. Morita, M. Kainuma and K. Takahashi
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 441-448.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 80 KB)

• Numerical Simulation Study Using a Climate Model Includinga Sophisticated Land Surface Model
  K. Mabuchi, Y. Sato and H. Kida
  Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling,
  Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, pp. 449-456.
  © by TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 2001.
  [Full text] (PDF 248 KB)

  Author Index (PDF 8KB)
  pp. 457-458.